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Title: Peculiarities of Passenger Flows Forecast on the Reduced Market Conditions
Authors: Griškevičienė, Daiva
Griškevičius, Algirdas
Griškevičiūtė-Gečienė, Aušrinė
Keywords: local passenger transportation
railway transport operator
analysis of passenger prognostication providences and projections
transportation forecasting
Issue Date: 2011
Publisher: Vilniaus Gedimino technikos universitetas
Citation: Griškevičienė, D.; Griškevičius, A.; Griškevičiūtė-Gečienė, A. 2011. Peculiarities of passenger flows forecast on the reduced market conditions, in The 8th International Conference “Environmental Engineering”: Selected papers. Ed. by D. Čygas, K. D. Froehner, May 19–20, 2011 Vilnius, Lithuania. Vilnius: Technika, 898–904.
Abstract: The basic aim of public transport operator - National railway company – to provide passenger transportation services on the territory of network accessibility areas, also to enlarge volumes of passenger transportation and the quality of services necessary to satisfy needs of publicity and to reduce working loss. Accomplished overhaul of railway transport strategy and economic analysis of present passenger transportation activity allow defining features related to the selection of forecasting methods. Important socio-economic indicators selected as a frame for railway passenger transportation forecasts were influenced by present statistic data and indicator reliability during the period of economic crisis. Both economic and social factors have influence on passenger demand. Such indicators as GDP, average wages, level of automobilization, domestic income and expenditures, demographical indicators, changes on urban territories, economic changes, crisis cycle and other were evaluated. The forecasts on passenger volumes transported by trains and routes of JC Lithuanian Railway are prepared for local and international transportations. The priority is given to satisfaction of passenger market demands offering qualitative and quantitative balanced services. The forecasts on passenger transportation demand are prepared according to three scenarios of basic passenger transportation supply.
ISBN: 978-9955-28-831-2
ISSN: 2029-7106 print
2029-7092 online
Appears in Collections:Konferencijų straipsniai

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